NHL Projected Save Percentage - Rest of Season - Rest of Season

Q: How are save percentage projections calculated?

We analyze goalie historical SV%, opponent shot quality metrics, expected shot volume, and recent form to project each goalie's expected save percentage this season.

Q: What's a good save percentage for one game?

Single-game SV% is highly variable. A .920+ is solid, .940+ is excellent. Even elite goalies post sub-.900 games occasionally due to variance.

Q: Does matchup affect save percentage?

Significantly. Facing weak offenses that take low-quality shots inflates SV%. Facing elite offenses with high-danger chances suppresses SV%.

Q: Should I bench a good goalie in a bad matchup?

Consider it. Even elite goalies struggle against top offenses. A .900 SV% against Colorado is respectable; a .900 against a weak team is disappointing.

Save percentage reflects goaltending quality and matchup difficulty. Our SV% projections identify which goalies are set up for efficient performances this season. Elite goalies facing low-danger offenses offer the best save percentage upside.

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Season Outlook: Jan 14 through Apr 17, 2026

Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Updated: 1:43 PM UTC(hourly)

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What is save percentage? SV% = Saves / Shots Against. A .920 SV% means the goalie stops 92% of shots faced.

SV% benchmarks

- Elite: .920+ (Vezina-caliber) - Above average: .910-.920 - Average: .900-.910 - Below average: <.900

SV% factors

- Goalie quality: Elite goalies maintain higher SV% - Shot quality: Low-danger shots are easier to save - Team defense: Good defense limits high-danger chances - Opponent: Weak offenses produce lower-quality shots

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Pro Tip: Elite goalies facing bottom-10 offenses can post .940+ SV% nights. Target these premium matchups.

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Forward-looking projections only

ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.

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No Projections Available

Projections for rest of season are not yet available.

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Elite Goalies This season

The best save percentages come from elite goalies facing weak opponents. Identify these premium matchups.

All Goalies

Weak Opponent Matchups

Goalies facing bottom-10 offenses have the best SV% projections. Check which teams struggle to generate offense.

Games The rest of the season

SV% vs. Saves Trade-off

Goalies facing few shots may post high SV% but few saves. Balance efficiency with volume based on your needs.

Saves Projections

Related Projections

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Frequently Asked Questions

We analyze goalie historical SV%, opponent shot quality metrics, expected shot volume, and recent form to project each goalie's expected save percentage this season.

Single-game SV% is highly variable. A .920+ is solid, .940+ is excellent. Even elite goalies post sub-.900 games occasionally due to variance.

Significantly. Facing weak offenses that take low-quality shots inflates SV%. Facing elite offenses with high-danger chances suppresses SV%.

Consider it. Even elite goalies struggle against top offenses. A .900 SV% against Colorado is respectable; a .900 against a weak team is disappointing.