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NHL Projected Goalie Wins Next Week Next Week

Goalie wins are the most impactful fantasy goaltending stat. Our win projections analyze team strength, opponent quality, and home/away splits to identify which goalies are best positioned for victories next week. Heavy favorites with quality starters offer the safest win upside (Mar 2-Mar 8 (Week 22)). (Mar 2-Mar 8 (Week 22))

Week 22: Mar 2 - Mar 8(Upcoming)
Sunday, March 1, 2026
Updated: 8:47 AM UTC(hourly)
6 games • 62 players

Why wins matter

Goalie wins are worth 3-5 points in most fantasy formats, making them the most impactful goalie stat. A win can swing your entire fantasy week.

Win probability factors

- Team strength: Goalies on good teams win more often - Home ice advantage: Most goalies perform better at home - Opponent: Facing weak offensive teams increases win odds - Betting lines: Vegas moneylines indicate expected win probability

Win projection tiers

- High confidence (65%+): Heavy favorites (-180 or better) - Medium confidence (50-65%): Slight favorites - Low confidence (<50%): Underdogs and toss-ups

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Pro Tip: Moneyline favorites win about 58% of NHL games. Only start goalies on teams -140 or better if wins are your priority.

Sorted by Projected Goaltending Wins(Mar 2-Mar 8 (Week 22))

62 players
Showing 62 of 62 players
PlayerTeamPosRost%GAPTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPGPPAPPPSHGSHAFOWFOLTKGV+/-TOISFTFPTS
Brandon Bussi
CARG75.3%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0037.20
Andrei Vasilevskiy
TBG98.3%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0036.10
Mackenzie Blackwood
COLG95.7%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0036.30
Jake Oettinger
DALG98.9%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0032.30
John Gibson
DETG81.6%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0034.60
Scott Wedgewood
COLG88.3%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0031.60
Casey DeSmith
DALG30.9%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0035.00
Jonas Johansson
TBG10.6%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0024.20
Jeremy Swayman
BOSG87.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0031.60
Alex Lyon
BUFG51.2%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0032.10
Elvis Merzlikins
CLBG29.5%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0025.80
Joseph Woll
TORG65.5%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0034.10
Lukas Dostal
ANAG82.5%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0023.80
Jakub Dobes
MONG52.7%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0019.70
Joonas Korpisalo
BOSG13.3%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0026.50
Jacob Markstrom
NJG69.1%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0021.80
Akira Schmid
LVG51.6%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0023.60
Juuse Saros
NSHG83.2%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0023.70
Ilya Sorokin
NYIG94.7%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0026.70
Karel Vejmelka
UTAG88.5%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0019.90
Jake Allen
NJG37.9%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0026.70
Linus Ullmark
OTTG70.5%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0015.60
Sergei Bobrovsky
FLAG89.9%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0016.20
Eric Comrie
WPGG12.3%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0016.80
Adin Hill
LVG73.3%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0014.00
Arturs Silovs
PITG38.4%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0020.80
Nikita Tolopilo
VANG8.9%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0026.80
Cam Talbot
DETG25.9%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0017.10
Philipp Grubauer
SEAG29.7%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0021.30
David Rittich
NYIG18.7%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0017.80
Tristan Jarry
EDMG63.4%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0016.10
Sam Montembeault
MONG55.3%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0014.00
Igor Shesterkin
NYRG92.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0022.40
Daniel Vladar
PHIG54.1%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0017.30
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
BUFG49.5%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0018.00
Jet Greaves
CLBG67.9%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0021.70
Joey Daccord
SEAG79.6%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0017.80
Filip Gustavsson
MING98.1%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0021.30
Connor Ingram
EDMG27.4%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0014.90
Stuart Skinner
PITG79.2%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0012.50
Joel Hofer
STLG36.9%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0016.70
Logan Thompson
WASG96.6%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0018.90
Spencer Knight
CHIG83.7%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0019.30
Justus Annunen
NSHG12.1%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0017.50
Yaroslav Askarov
SJG64.7%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0014.00
Jesper Wallstedt
MING80.2%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0023.00
Alex Nedeljkovic
SJG16.3%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0014.40
Anthony Stolarz
TORG62.4%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0014.90
James Reimer
OTTG4.9%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0011.80
Connor Hellebuyck
WPGG97.5%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0015.30
Kevin Lankinen
VANG20.4%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0013.70
Dustin Wolf
CGYG87.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0016.40
Daniil Tarasov
FLAG20.4%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0019.60
Samuel Ersson
PHIG19.5%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.007.00
Anton Forsberg
LAG18.9%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0014.00
Darcy Kuemper
LAG87.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0013.80
Devin Cooley
CGYG13.9%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0019.50
Carter Hart
LVG34.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.007.20
Colten Ellis
BUFG11.3%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.008.40
Jonathan Quick
NYRG12.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0015.20
Matt Murray
SEAG3.2%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.009.60
Jordan Binnington
STLG56.3%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.006.50

Next Week's Favorite Goalies

Goalies on heavy favorites have the best win probability. Check team betting lines to identify high-confidence win targets.

Games Next week

Confirmed Starters

Verify your goalie is confirmed to start before counting on a win. Check our starting goalies page for real-time confirmation updates.

Starting Goalies

Wins vs. Saves Trade-off

Goalies on favorites often face fewer shots (fewer saves) but win more often. Balance your goalie strategy based on category needs.

Saves Projections

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

We analyze team win probability based on betting lines, historical records, home/away splits, opponent strength, and recent team form to estimate each goalie's win probability next week.
Goalies on elite teams like Boston, Colorado, and Dallas win the most. Starting goalies on playoff contenders typically accumulate 30+ wins per season.
For wins, yes. Underdogs win only 42% of NHL games. If wins are your priority, target goalies on teams favored by -140 or better.
Generally yes, because backups often face tougher matchups or play for weaker teams. However, quality backups on elite teams can still accumulate wins.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, and ice time

Special Teams

Power play and shorthanded production

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs, PIM, and takeaways

Goalie Projections

Wins, saves, SV%, and shutouts

Fantasy Points

Yahoo, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see next week player projections

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