NHL Projected Goalie Wins This Week This Week

Q: How are goalie win projections calculated?

We analyze team win probability based on betting lines, historical records, home/away splits, opponent strength, and recent team form to estimate each goalie's win probability this week.

Q: Which goalies win the most games?

Goalies on elite teams like Boston, Colorado, and Dallas win the most. Starting goalies on playoff contenders typically accumulate 30+ wins per season.

Q: Should I only start goalies who are favorites?

For wins, yes. Underdogs win only 42% of NHL games. If wins are your priority, target goalies on teams favored by -140 or better.

Q: Do backup goalies have lower win projections?

Generally yes, because backups often face tougher matchups or play for weaker teams. However, quality backups on elite teams can still accumulate wins.

Goalie wins are the most impactful fantasy goaltending stat. Our win projections analyze team strength, opponent quality, and home/away splits to identify which goalies are best positioned for victories this week. Heavy favorites with quality starters offer the safest win upside (Jan 12-Jan 18 (Week 15)). (Jan 12-Jan 18 (Week 15))

Today This Week Next Week Rest of Season

Fantasy Week 15: Jan 12 - Jan 18(Mon-Sun)

Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Updated: 1:38 PM UTC(hourly)

No games scheduled

Why wins matter

Goalie wins are worth 3-5 points in most fantasy formats, making them the most impactful goalie stat. A win can swing your entire fantasy week.

Win probability factors

- Team strength: Goalies on good teams win more often - Home ice advantage: Most goalies perform better at home - Opponent: Facing weak offensive teams increases win odds - Betting lines: Vegas moneylines indicate expected win probability

Win projection tiers

- High confidence (65%+): Heavy favorites (-180 or better) - Medium confidence (50-65%): Slight favorites - Low confidence (<50%): Underdogs and toss-ups

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Pro Tip: Moneyline favorites win about 58% of NHL games. Only start goalies on teams -140 or better if wins are your priority.

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Projections for this week are not yet available.

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This Week's Favorite Goalies

Goalies on heavy favorites have the best win probability. Check team betting lines to identify high-confidence win targets.

Games This week

Confirmed Starters

Verify your goalie is confirmed to start before counting on a win. Check our starting goalies page for real-time confirmation updates.

Starting Goalies

Wins vs. Saves Trade-off

Goalies on favorites often face fewer shots (fewer saves) but win more often. Balance your goalie strategy based on category needs.

Saves Projections

Related Projections

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Frequently Asked Questions

We analyze team win probability based on betting lines, historical records, home/away splits, opponent strength, and recent team form to estimate each goalie's win probability this week.

Goalies on elite teams like Boston, Colorado, and Dallas win the most. Starting goalies on playoff contenders typically accumulate 30+ wins per season.

For wins, yes. Underdogs win only 42% of NHL games. If wins are your priority, target goalies on teams favored by -140 or better.

Generally yes, because backups often face tougher matchups or play for weaker teams. However, quality backups on elite teams can still accumulate wins.