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NHL Projected Goal Scorers This Week This Week

Which players are most likely to light the lamp this week? Our goal-scoring projections identify the NHL players with the best chances to find the back of the net in this week's games. Perfect for fantasy hockey managers chasing the goals category or DFS players looking for ceiling plays (Feb 23-Mar 1 (Week 21)). (Feb 23-Mar 1 (Week 21))

Fantasy Week 21: Feb 23 - Mar 1(Mon-Sun)
Sunday, March 1, 2026
Updated: 8:52 AM UTC(hourly)
6 games β€’ 701 players

What drives goal scoring? Goals are the most valuable fantasy stat but also the most volatile. Our projections analyze multiple factors to identify This Week's best scoring opportunities.

Key factors

- Line placement: Top-6 forwards get more offensive zone time - Power play role: PP1 triggers score most goals - Opponent goalie: Backup goalies allow more goals on average - Shot volume: More shots = more goal opportunities - Shooting percentage: Hot shooters often stay hot short-term

League averages

The average NHL goal scorer has a 10-12% shooting percentage. Elite finishers exceed 15%.

πŸ’‘
Pro Tip: Target players facing backup goalies with sub-.900 save percentages this seasonβ€”goal projections spike in these matchups.

Sorted by Projected Goals(Feb 23-Mar 1 (Week 21))

701 players
Showing 100 of 701 players
PlayerTeamPosRost%G ↓APTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPGPPAPPPSHGSHAFOWFOLTKGV+/-TOISFTFPTS
Nathan MacKinnon
COLC99.8%3.404.708.1022.503.902.401.500.600.000.000.000.0048.0042.600.000.003.40110.80117.2072.60
Brad Marchand
FLALW97.6%3.203.006.3017.204.401.804.600.700.000.000.000.000.100.900.000.00-1.90108.50132.8049.20
Zach Hyman
EDMRW93.5%3.202.105.3016.404.301.701.801.100.000.000.000.000.000.100.000.001.20100.50101.4049.90
Bo Horvat
NYIC93.9%3.202.305.5019.405.103.602.900.800.000.000.100.0060.5046.800.000.001.40123.10140.0055.80
Matthew Boldy
MINRW99.9%3.203.006.2016.703.803.402.200.800.000.000.400.004.104.700.000.001.80104.30105.0057.30
Tage Thompson
BUFC99.9%3.103.006.1020.405.803.902.700.400.000.000.000.0031.8036.400.000.00-0.50115.20138.0054.70
Connor McDavid
EDMC99.7%3.005.608.6019.201.901.901.900.800.000.000.100.0026.6029.200.000.000.90115.40110.5067.90
Leon Draisaitl
EDMC99.6%2.805.108.0015.302.301.302.101.300.000.000.100.0050.2037.500.000.000.80109.10111.3060.80
Nikita Kucherov
TBRW99.6%2.805.808.7014.802.302.202.300.400.000.000.000.000.000.200.000.003.70102.50107.6067.50
Tom Wilson
WASRW94.8%2.803.205.9012.5016.003.807.100.800.000.000.000.001.601.800.000.002.20116.50139.5051.20
Kirill Kaprizov
MINLW99.7%2.803.406.1017.103.101.701.601.200.000.000.000.000.000.200.000.000.90111.60106.1053.70
Sam Reinhart
FLARW99.8%2.702.905.6016.406.203.801.100.900.000.000.300.005.909.000.000.00-1.80128.20146.2046.60
Connor Bedard
CHIC99.7%2.703.406.2017.401.802.103.400.700.000.000.000.0018.4020.800.000.00-0.30105.10113.2050.70
Brock Nelson
COLC88.2%2.601.704.2011.702.403.501.900.600.000.000.000.0045.8043.000.000.000.5096.70119.7038.90
Mark Scheifele
WPGC99.7%2.604.206.8011.001.902.600.800.700.000.000.000.0037.5042.600.000.000.10106.30107.4048.30
Matthew Tkachuk
FLARW94.0%2.603.506.1020.508.801.506.501.200.000.000.000.000.300.900.000.00-1.00112.00130.1053.30
Kyle Connor
WPGLW100.0%2.603.906.4017.201.300.801.200.300.000.000.200.000.000.000.000.00-0.10106.50110.7049.90
Brandon Hagel
TBLW99.3%2.602.505.2014.503.902.803.200.200.000.000.100.002.103.000.000.003.2098.80116.0049.70
Mark Stone
LVRW96.1%2.504.707.2010.901.904.400.501.000.000.000.000.000.400.900.000.001.6098.20105.6057.30
Jared McCann
SEALW82.2%2.502.304.8012.103.402.900.401.100.000.000.000.001.401.500.000.000.1083.60110.0042.30
Tyler Bertuzzi
CHILW75.0%2.501.604.1011.903.501.601.800.900.000.000.000.004.304.600.000.00-2.1091.80102.3032.70
Logan Cooley
UTAC90.7%2.501.604.1011.005.902.502.700.500.000.000.300.0026.3033.200.000.001.0088.50106.9037.20
Steven Stamkos
NSHC88.0%2.401.303.8012.505.601.602.100.800.000.000.000.0016.8012.900.000.00-1.5088.00102.9032.40
Auston Matthews
TORC99.0%2.402.204.6017.403.006.902.000.400.000.000.000.0048.2033.200.000.000.10104.60120.0047.80
Martin Necas
COLRW99.8%2.403.906.2013.105.701.702.700.400.000.000.000.000.901.000.000.002.80105.20111.2050.80
Tim Stutzle
OTTC99.9%2.402.905.3012.408.003.402.200.500.000.000.100.0023.1021.000.000.000.40102.40130.9044.30
Pavel Dorofeyev
LVRW94.1%2.401.604.0013.801.802.201.401.500.000.000.000.000.000.100.000.00-0.3087.1095.3039.40
Macklin Celebrini
SJC99.8%2.404.506.9017.202.503.002.400.400.000.000.000.0037.8038.800.000.000.60106.20106.1055.80
Jason Zucker
BUFLW41.5%2.302.104.4012.606.601.602.301.000.000.000.000.006.209.800.000.00-1.4095.40116.9035.70
Bryan Rust
PITRW88.5%2.302.504.7014.802.406.702.000.400.000.000.000.000.000.500.000.000.00120.80139.2047.10
Jakob Chychrun
WASD97.5%2.302.705.0018.705.008.004.600.600.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.002.00141.80135.7056.10
Jake Guentzel
TBLW99.9%2.303.205.5013.102.202.702.100.400.000.000.200.0011.5012.700.000.001.50102.80109.9047.10
Alex Tuch
BUFRW97.4%2.202.704.9014.106.507.303.500.500.000.000.100.003.003.500.000.001.70113.20148.3048.60
Jason Robertson
DALLW100.0%2.202.404.6013.802.401.300.900.800.000.000.000.000.000.100.000.001.1079.8083.5042.60
Dylan Guenther
UTARW98.2%2.201.904.0016.003.601.602.000.400.000.000.000.001.802.600.000.000.6086.10104.8040.00
Wyatt Johnston
DALC99.7%2.202.204.4010.401.702.801.001.400.000.000.000.0018.1019.800.000.00-0.2080.3089.0038.30
Anthony Mantha
PITRW47.5%2.102.304.4010.803.302.901.500.400.000.000.000.000.602.300.000.001.6089.80104.9039.40
Filip Forsberg
NSHLW98.2%2.102.004.1015.609.301.402.100.400.000.000.000.000.901.500.000.00-0.4093.90110.5038.10
William Nylander
TORRW98.5%2.104.106.2010.000.601.902.000.300.000.000.000.002.703.900.000.00-0.1092.90109.1042.30
Alex Ovechkin
WASLW95.5%2.102.504.7015.509.801.102.100.400.000.000.000.000.200.100.000.000.10106.70119.3040.90
Gabriel Vilardi
WPGRW88.7%2.102.704.809.701.201.901.100.800.000.000.000.002.903.300.000.00-0.1094.20100.3037.30
Justin Brazeau
PITRW36.2%2.101.603.7010.907.903.801.200.400.000.000.000.000.000.300.000.000.3077.5099.6034.20
Cole Caufield
MONLW99.7%2.101.603.8012.402.801.000.900.500.000.000.000.000.400.700.000.001.6072.8083.0037.60
Aliaksei Protas
WASLW73.4%2.102.304.4012.203.003.101.900.000.000.000.200.001.602.400.000.001.50110.20138.8038.80
Jack Eichel
LVC99.8%2.004.706.7018.502.803.200.900.000.000.000.000.0039.3041.700.000.001.20106.80113.0058.40
Tomas Hertl
LVC92.8%2.002.404.4013.106.702.901.601.200.000.000.000.0047.0033.200.000.00-0.3087.4098.8039.60
Nick Schmaltz
UTARW91.4%2.002.804.8012.801.503.302.100.400.000.000.100.0027.3030.400.000.001.5098.60118.9043.00
Brady Tkachuk
OTTLW98.3%2.003.105.0019.4014.301.504.500.500.000.000.100.0013.209.900.000.00-0.4085.20118.8045.20
Seth Jarvis
CARRW98.2%2.001.403.4011.805.801.700.500.300.000.000.200.002.003.000.000.000.9075.9087.3033.40
Sam Bennett
FLAC86.6%1.902.404.3015.8010.702.206.600.200.000.000.000.0041.7044.000.000.00-1.20110.80135.4036.80
Travis Konecny
PHIRW94.3%1.902.904.8011.006.702.602.700.100.000.000.100.000.902.700.000.000.8095.00117.0039.50
Jack Roslovic
EDMRW26.2%1.901.203.1012.102.201.901.800.300.000.000.000.0010.509.100.000.00-0.6080.0093.7028.80
Alex DeBrincat
DETLW98.5%1.901.703.7013.202.101.900.700.800.000.000.000.001.201.800.000.000.1072.6084.5035.10
Cutter Gauthier
ANALW96.5%1.901.803.7015.903.401.201.500.500.000.000.000.003.203.800.000.000.1069.8085.3036.10
Pavol Regenda
SJC19.0%1.900.702.609.709.201.602.700.800.000.000.000.005.404.800.000.000.4072.6093.3027.10
Josh Doan
BUFRW59.3%1.901.903.8012.306.102.601.900.700.000.000.000.000.401.100.000.00-0.8096.60124.1033.40
Will Smith
SJRW87.3%1.902.404.4012.201.101.101.700.500.000.000.000.001.003.100.000.000.0090.8098.9035.80
Ryan O'Reilly
NSHC83.2%1.803.004.709.300.903.401.000.200.000.000.200.0046.0035.900.000.000.80100.50118.5038.50
Dylan Larkin
DETC98.7%1.801.603.4010.902.502.301.700.700.000.000.000.0045.9043.700.000.000.8081.5096.8033.20
Jordan Eberle
SEARW47.8%1.801.703.5010.603.502.501.400.400.000.000.000.000.801.300.000.000.4093.80112.3033.50
Evgeni Malkin
PITC86.9%1.804.606.5015.302.402.004.400.400.000.000.000.0013.7017.200.000.002.00105.40118.4053.40
Mathew Barzal
NYIRW87.4%1.803.605.4012.902.103.902.700.200.000.000.000.0020.8031.400.000.001.60124.60129.7046.70
Kiefer Sherwood
SJRW71.6%1.800.602.5012.6024.102.403.000.600.000.000.100.001.402.300.000.00-1.0087.60109.6027.10
Drake Batherson
OTTRW95.2%1.802.804.6010.507.701.501.700.600.000.000.000.000.801.000.000.00-0.3088.80117.1035.20
Morgan Geekie
BOSLW95.8%1.801.203.106.804.701.101.000.600.000.000.000.003.704.100.000.000.0052.4057.5025.30
Trevor Zegras
PHILW89.7%1.802.504.3010.702.501.302.100.800.000.000.000.005.6011.800.000.00-0.7093.80108.0033.90
Leo Carlsson
ANAC91.4%1.802.504.3010.500.801.401.300.400.000.000.200.0029.0034.800.000.000.1077.8092.8034.40
Matthew Schaefer
NYID97.1%1.802.304.1013.902.508.002.800.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.001.20144.80161.1046.30
Rickard Rakell
PITLW79.0%1.702.304.0017.008.605.300.700.400.000.000.000.000.804.400.000.00-0.10113.50128.4041.70
John Tavares
TORC97.3%1.702.103.8011.004.201.202.000.600.000.000.000.0042.4030.900.000.00-1.4089.80104.9028.80
Adrian Kempe
LARW98.7%1.702.203.9012.808.602.803.900.200.000.000.000.004.107.200.000.000.4096.60107.3035.40
Brayden Point
TBC93.2%1.702.604.3011.000.701.601.100.400.000.000.000.0025.8027.900.000.001.3091.30103.0036.40
Pierre-Luc Dubois
WASC43.6%1.702.303.9011.005.403.804.300.500.000.000.000.0037.9041.100.000.001.1099.10120.5036.60
Carter Verhaeghe
FLALW83.6%1.702.504.2014.705.701.702.200.400.000.000.000.002.604.000.000.00-1.20105.70127.6034.30
Anton Lundell
FLAC77.4%1.702.704.4014.407.703.603.600.300.000.000.200.0058.8052.100.000.00-0.80115.10145.5038.70
Bobby McMann
TORLW38.2%1.701.102.8010.2011.902.202.600.200.000.000.000.000.500.400.000.00-0.1076.8097.4026.30
Artemi Panarin
LALW98.3%1.603.405.1013.600.601.001.400.200.000.000.000.000.100.000.000.00-1.20104.40112.2037.00
Chris Kreider
ANALW57.4%1.601.102.608.203.501.401.200.600.000.000.000.001.001.700.000.00-0.1067.8085.7024.00
Clayton Keller
UTALW98.7%1.603.505.0014.400.702.201.400.100.000.000.000.001.101.500.000.001.5095.20111.7044.30
Dylan Strome
WASC91.4%1.603.204.8010.801.003.402.400.400.000.000.000.0059.4040.900.000.000.70111.20125.0039.80
Joel Eriksson Ek
MINC89.1%1.602.303.9013.807.202.002.000.700.000.000.000.0051.2055.300.000.001.6096.10104.3039.20
Artturi Lehkonen
COLLW80.7%1.601.903.5011.703.502.201.000.100.000.000.000.000.301.200.000.002.2095.60115.5034.40
Blake Coleman
CGYRW35.2%1.601.002.5012.4011.303.202.500.000.000.000.300.001.301.600.000.000.9084.60116.9029.40
Owen Tippett
PHIRW68.4%1.601.403.0012.709.302.701.400.200.000.000.200.000.401.100.000.00-1.0082.40106.4028.60
Nico Hischier
NJC95.3%1.601.903.5013.403.503.901.500.500.000.000.000.0059.1047.000.000.00-0.90104.00119.5033.30
Jack Hughes
NJC98.7%1.603.304.9017.500.402.100.000.200.000.000.000.008.8015.600.000.00-1.00105.20107.7041.80
Joshua Norris
BUFC55.0%1.602.804.508.803.703.602.600.300.000.000.000.0039.7037.600.000.00-0.2098.40128.7035.20
Darren Raddysh
TBD89.4%1.603.405.0012.905.205.001.800.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.002.00113.40115.7047.10
Dylan Cozens
OTTC88.3%1.602.203.8011.9014.401.603.000.800.000.000.000.0029.9027.500.000.00-0.9086.00114.6032.60
Jake Neighbours
STLLW43.8%1.601.202.807.0013.002.602.700.100.000.000.000.000.200.900.000.00-1.1079.20104.7021.90
Shane Pinto
OTTC57.1%1.601.503.1011.407.503.602.900.200.000.000.000.0029.6029.600.000.000.1094.30131.6030.20
John-Jason Peterka
UTARW75.6%1.601.403.009.301.001.301.900.100.000.000.000.000.601.300.000.000.7082.90102.2026.50
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
EDMLW89.9%1.503.605.109.401.502.101.200.700.000.000.000.0010.2011.900.000.00-0.3096.10107.9038.10
Jean-Gabriel Pageau
NYIC18.2%1.501.503.006.509.205.300.200.000.000.000.400.0054.0035.600.000.000.0093.10128.3026.40
Lawson Crouse
UTARW31.3%1.501.402.909.4014.003.601.500.000.000.000.100.002.303.700.000.001.6082.90115.1029.60
Zach Werenski
CLBD99.8%1.503.204.6014.701.704.900.900.200.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.50105.70104.8042.90
Anthony Cirelli
TBC58.6%1.502.003.509.003.402.901.300.200.000.000.000.0036.2037.000.000.003.4087.30112.1035.60
Evan Bouchard
EDMD99.8%1.504.606.1015.001.907.202.100.500.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.90123.60126.0053.70
Yegor Chinakhov
PITRW23.5%1.500.902.409.404.901.700.700.000.000.000.000.000.300.800.000.00-0.1069.4090.9022.30
Dylan Holloway
STLLW70.0%1.501.402.9012.4013.303.700.900.200.000.000.000.001.601.500.000.00-1.3088.40106.7028.10

Who Should I Start for Goals This week?

Torn between two players for goal-scoring upside? Use our head-to-head comparison tool to see projected goals, shots, and shooting percentages side-by-side.

Who Should I Start

Best Goal Streamers This week

If you're chasing the goals category, look for players with high projections who are available in most leagues. Filter by rostered percentage to find hidden gems.

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DFS Goal Stacks

Building a GPP lineup? Stack goal scorers with their linemates for correlated upside. When one scores, the others often get assists.

DraftKings Projections

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Frequently Asked Questions

Our goal projections combine historical scoring rates, opponent goaltender stats, power play time, line placement, shot volume trends, and game-time factors to predict each player's likelihood of scoring this week.
Elite goal scorers like Auston Matthews, Leon Draisaitl, Alex Ovechkin, and David Pastrnak consistently lead projections. However, matchup-dependent streamers often offer better value on any given night.
Our NHL goal projections update hourly throughout the day, with final adjustments made when starting lineups and goaltenders are confirmed approximately 30 minutes before puck drop.
Goals are high-variance but high-reward. In category leagues, streaming goal scorers against weak goaltending can swing close matchups. In points leagues, consistent goal scorers provide elite value.

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Fantasy Points

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