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NHL Projected Goal Scorers Today

Which players are most likely to light the lamp tonight? Our goal-scoring projections identify the NHL players with the best chances to find the back of the net in today's games. Perfect for fantasy hockey managers chasing the goals category or DFS players looking for ceiling plays.

Sunday, March 1, 2026
Updated: 7:41 AM UTC(hourly)
6 games β€’ 256 players

What drives goal scoring? Goals are the most valuable fantasy stat but also the most volatile. Our projections analyze multiple factors to identify tonight's best scoring opportunities.

Key factors

- Line placement: Top-6 forwards get more offensive zone time - Power play role: PP1 triggers score most goals - Opponent goalie: Backup goalies allow more goals on average - Shot volume: More shots = more goal opportunities - Shooting percentage: Hot shooters often stay hot short-term

League averages

The average NHL goal scorer has a 10-12% shooting percentage. Elite finishers exceed 15%.

πŸ’‘
Pro Tip: Target players facing backup goalies with sub-.900 save percentages this seasonβ€”goal projections spike in these matchups.

Sorted by Projected Goals

256 players
Showing 100 of 256 players
PlayerTeamPosOppRost%G ↓APTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPGPPAPPPSHGSHAFOWFOLTKGV+/-TOISFTFPTS
Matthew Boldy
MINRWvs STL99.9%0.700.601.303.000.600.600.400.200.000.000.100.000.700.800.000.000.2020.9021.0011.00
Bo Horvat
NYICvs FLA93.9%0.600.401.002.900.900.600.600.100.000.000.000.0010.707.600.000.000.2020.5023.309.10
Mark Scheifele
WPGC@ SJ99.7%0.600.901.402.400.300.500.200.100.000.000.000.008.008.500.000.000.0021.3021.5010.20
Kirill Kaprizov
MINLWvs STL99.7%0.600.701.303.300.500.300.300.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.1022.3021.2011.00
Brad Marchand
FLALW@ NYI97.6%0.500.501.002.900.700.300.700.100.000.000.000.000.000.200.000.00-0.3018.1022.108.00
Mark Stone
LVRW@ PIT96.1%0.500.901.402.200.400.800.100.100.000.000.000.000.100.200.000.000.5019.6021.1010.90
Matthew Tkachuk
FLARW@ NYI94.0%0.500.601.103.701.500.301.000.200.000.000.000.000.100.200.000.00-0.2018.7021.709.50
Tyler Bertuzzi
CHILW@ UTA75.0%0.500.300.802.200.800.300.400.200.000.000.000.000.900.900.000.00-0.4018.4020.506.20
Kyle Connor
WPGLW@ SJ100.0%0.500.801.303.700.200.200.200.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0021.3022.1010.50
Dylan Guenther
UTARWvs CHI98.2%0.500.400.803.300.800.300.400.100.000.000.000.000.400.500.000.000.1017.2021.008.20
Pavel Dorofeyev
LVRW@ PIT94.1%0.500.300.802.800.400.400.300.200.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.1017.4019.107.50
Logan Cooley
UTACvs CHI90.7%0.500.300.902.201.300.400.500.100.000.000.100.005.206.200.000.000.2017.7021.407.50
Cutter Gauthier
ANALWvs CGY96.5%0.500.400.904.100.900.300.400.100.000.000.000.000.801.000.000.000.0017.4021.308.90
Connor Bedard
CHIC@ UTA99.7%0.500.601.103.200.400.400.700.100.000.000.000.003.804.100.000.00-0.1021.0022.609.50
Macklin Celebrini
SJCvs WPG99.8%0.500.901.403.300.400.500.400.100.000.000.000.006.907.200.000.000.1021.2021.2011.10
Jack Eichel
LVC@ PIT99.8%0.400.901.303.700.600.600.200.000.000.000.000.007.608.400.000.000.4021.4022.6011.20
Sam Reinhart
FLARW@ NYI99.8%0.400.400.802.400.900.600.100.100.000.000.100.000.801.400.000.00-0.3021.4024.406.60
Anthony Mantha
PITRWvs LV47.5%0.400.400.801.700.600.500.200.100.000.000.000.000.100.400.000.000.2015.0017.506.60
Chris Kreider
ANALWvs CGY57.4%0.400.300.602.100.900.400.300.100.000.000.000.000.300.400.000.000.0017.0021.405.90
Bryan Rust
PITRWvs LV88.5%0.400.400.802.200.401.200.300.100.000.000.000.000.000.100.000.000.0020.1023.207.50
Tomas Hertl
LVC@ PIT92.8%0.400.500.802.701.500.500.300.200.000.000.000.009.406.900.000.00-0.1017.5019.807.50
Nick Schmaltz
UTARWvs CHI91.4%0.400.601.002.600.300.600.400.100.000.000.000.005.405.600.000.000.3019.7023.808.60
Kiefer Sherwood
SJRWvs WPG71.6%0.400.100.502.604.600.500.500.100.000.000.000.000.300.500.000.00-0.2017.5021.905.80
Gabriel Vilardi
WPGRW@ SJ88.7%0.400.501.002.000.200.400.200.100.000.000.000.000.600.600.000.000.0018.8020.107.60
Pavol Regenda
SJCvs WPG19.0%0.400.200.602.101.800.300.500.200.000.000.000.001.101.000.000.000.1014.5018.705.90
Will Smith
SJRWvs WPG87.3%0.400.500.902.400.200.200.300.100.000.000.000.000.200.600.000.000.0018.2019.807.40
Leo Carlsson
ANACvs CGY91.4%0.400.601.002.700.200.400.400.100.000.000.000.007.708.900.000.000.0019.5023.208.30
Rickard Rakell
PITLWvs LV79.0%0.300.400.602.501.400.900.100.100.000.000.000.000.100.700.000.000.0018.9021.406.50
Mikael Backlund
CGYC@ ANA23.3%0.300.500.702.600.300.400.200.000.000.000.000.0010.108.900.000.000.2017.8024.006.70
Sam Bennett
FLAC@ NYI86.6%0.300.400.702.701.800.401.000.000.000.000.000.007.008.100.000.00-0.2018.5022.606.20
Ryan Hartman
MINCvs STL31.2%0.300.300.502.000.701.300.400.100.000.000.000.005.607.200.000.000.0016.7018.006.00
Tyler Toffoli
SJRWvs WPG59.3%0.300.400.702.300.600.400.200.100.000.000.000.000.100.300.000.00-0.1015.8019.505.90
Mikael Granlund
ANACvs CGY48.3%0.300.400.602.000.500.700.400.100.000.000.000.006.106.700.000.00-0.2019.0023.005.40
Mats Zuccarello
MINRWvs STL54.3%0.300.600.901.700.300.400.200.100.000.000.000.000.400.400.000.00-0.1018.9018.806.70
Evgeni Malkin
PITCvs LV86.9%0.300.701.002.200.400.300.600.100.000.000.000.002.202.700.000.000.3017.6019.708.00
Vladimir Tarasenko
MINRWvs STL24.7%0.300.300.601.900.600.400.100.100.000.000.000.000.100.100.000.00-0.1015.0017.105.50
Marcus Johansson
MINLWvs STL37.3%0.300.500.801.400.400.200.100.100.000.000.000.000.100.100.000.000.3015.9019.205.90
Lawson Crouse
UTARWvs CHI31.3%0.300.300.601.903.100.600.300.000.000.000.000.000.500.700.000.000.3016.6023.005.90
Clayton Keller
UTALWvs CHI98.7%0.300.701.002.900.200.400.300.000.000.000.000.000.200.300.000.000.3019.0022.308.90
Joel Eriksson Ek
MINCvs STL89.1%0.300.500.802.601.200.300.300.100.000.000.000.009.209.700.000.000.2019.2020.907.60
Mathew Barzal
NYIRWvs FLA87.4%0.300.600.901.900.400.700.500.000.000.000.000.003.705.100.000.000.2020.8021.607.60
Blake Coleman
CGYRW@ ANA35.2%0.300.200.502.402.200.700.500.000.000.000.100.000.300.300.000.000.2016.9023.406.00
Troy Terry
ANARWvs CGY79.1%0.300.600.902.300.000.300.300.000.000.000.000.000.100.100.000.000.1018.4022.406.90
Adam Gaudette
SJCvs WPG4.0%0.300.200.501.600.900.400.300.100.000.000.000.001.702.000.000.00-0.2011.8015.804.30
Robert Thomas
STLC@ MIN78.3%0.300.500.801.600.200.500.300.100.000.000.000.0010.408.200.000.00-0.1018.9024.005.80
Jordan Kyrou
STLRW@ MIN72.5%0.300.400.702.900.200.400.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.200.000.00-0.1016.2020.706.40
Carter Verhaeghe
FLALW@ NYI83.6%0.300.400.702.500.900.300.300.100.000.000.000.000.400.700.000.00-0.2017.6021.305.80
Joel Farabee
CGYLW@ ANA10.9%0.300.300.501.900.700.800.300.000.000.000.100.000.500.500.000.00-0.1016.9022.004.90
Morgan Frost
CGYC@ ANA19.7%0.300.300.601.900.600.500.400.100.000.000.000.007.705.600.000.00-0.2015.3019.705.00
Simon Holmstrom
NYIRWvs FLA14.8%0.300.400.601.100.200.800.300.000.000.000.000.000.100.200.000.000.1016.6021.805.10
Jake Neighbours
STLLW@ MIN43.8%0.300.300.601.602.700.600.600.000.000.000.000.000.000.200.000.00-0.2015.8020.904.80
Justin Brazeau
PITRWvs LV36.2%0.300.300.601.501.300.600.200.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0012.9016.605.10
John-Jason Peterka
UTARWvs CHI75.6%0.300.300.601.900.200.200.400.000.000.000.000.000.100.200.000.000.1016.6020.405.40
Dylan Holloway
STLLW@ MIN70.0%0.300.300.602.702.500.700.200.000.000.000.000.000.400.300.000.00-0.3017.7021.305.70
Matthew Coronato
CGYRW@ ANA50.1%0.300.300.602.400.200.300.300.100.000.000.000.000.901.200.000.00-0.3016.6020.505.10
Collin Graf
SJLWvs WPG24.9%0.300.300.501.200.900.500.100.000.000.000.000.000.100.200.000.000.0016.5020.204.30
Beckett Sennecke
ANARWvs CGY75.1%0.300.500.802.501.100.300.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.1017.4021.806.60
Matthew Schaefer
NYIDvs FLA97.1%0.300.400.802.300.501.500.600.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.1024.1026.908.20
Avery Hayes
PITRWvs LV8.2%0.300.300.501.601.300.600.300.000.000.000.000.002.002.100.000.000.0015.1019.404.80
Anthony Duclair
NYILWvs FLA10.3%0.200.300.501.200.100.700.300.100.000.000.000.000.100.100.000.000.0013.4016.704.70
Evan Rodrigues
FLAC@ NYI20.7%0.200.300.402.501.000.400.600.000.000.000.000.005.606.700.000.00-0.3017.3022.204.40
Justin Faulk
STLD@ MIN75.3%0.200.400.502.200.701.700.400.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0022.4027.706.50
Teuvo Teravainen
CHILW@ UTA27.1%0.200.200.401.200.400.500.100.100.000.000.000.000.801.000.000.00-0.5018.2022.303.20
Alexander Wennberg
SJCvs WPG29.6%0.200.500.601.100.301.100.200.100.000.000.000.007.008.800.000.00-0.2020.8023.704.90
John Klingberg
SJDvs WPG42.5%0.200.200.401.500.601.100.300.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.2021.2022.104.70
Reilly Smith
LVRW@ PIT7.4%0.200.200.301.300.400.200.000.000.000.000.000.000.300.700.000.00-0.2013.8018.602.70
Tanner Pearson
WPGLW@ SJ0.1%0.200.100.201.001.200.500.400.000.000.000.000.000.100.300.000.000.1010.9016.102.90
Anders Lee
NYILWvs FLA40.6%0.200.400.602.401.000.500.400.100.000.000.000.001.100.800.000.000.1015.5019.305.90
Jean-Gabriel Pageau
NYICvs FLA18.2%0.200.200.500.901.400.800.000.000.000.000.100.008.805.300.000.000.0015.5021.404.10
Brayden Schenn
STLC@ MIN28.8%0.200.200.401.602.200.400.700.000.000.000.000.006.805.000.000.00-0.5016.7021.703.00
Nazem Kadri
CGYC@ ANA81.2%0.200.600.903.000.600.400.300.000.000.000.000.007.807.300.000.00-0.3019.5022.506.90
Andre Burakovsky
CHIRW@ UTA20.5%0.200.400.601.300.300.500.200.100.000.000.000.000.100.100.000.00-0.5017.2020.303.80
Jacob Trouba
ANADvs CGY70.2%0.200.300.402.001.602.100.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0022.5028.305.80
Rasmus Andersson
LVD@ PIT95.8%0.200.300.502.200.501.800.700.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.1023.9033.106.60
A.J. Greer
FLALW@ NYI12.4%0.200.200.301.402.600.301.300.000.000.000.000.000.100.200.000.000.1011.7016.603.60
Mikhail Sergachev
UTADvs CHI97.7%0.200.500.702.100.501.300.500.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0024.4028.906.80
Pavel Buchnevich
STLRW@ MIN45.6%0.200.400.602.200.400.500.300.100.000.000.000.000.901.300.000.00-0.3018.3023.105.20
Ivan Barbashev
LVLW@ PIT64.3%0.200.400.601.401.500.500.100.000.000.000.000.000.100.400.000.000.2016.2019.405.10
Mitch Marner
LVRW@ PIT98.4%0.200.600.901.900.300.600.200.100.000.000.000.001.502.300.000.000.3020.0021.507.30
Ryan Donato
CHILW@ UTA29.9%0.200.200.401.301.200.200.300.000.000.000.000.001.701.700.000.00-0.2015.0018.703.00
Kailer Yamamoto
UTARWvs CHI4.1%0.200.200.501.000.700.200.300.000.000.000.000.000.400.500.000.000.2011.6016.203.90
Alex Iafallo
WPGRW@ SJ6.7%0.200.200.401.401.200.700.200.000.000.000.000.000.200.300.000.000.0015.1018.904.30
Blake Lizotte
PITCvs LV0.1%0.200.200.400.901.000.600.300.000.000.000.000.004.404.300.000.000.2013.7019.003.50
Ilya Mikheyev
CHIRW@ UTA5.9%0.200.200.401.400.500.300.200.000.000.000.000.000.000.100.000.000.0017.6021.903.30
Barrett Hayton
UTACvs CHI29.3%0.200.200.401.900.500.400.600.100.000.000.000.006.004.600.000.000.1015.3020.704.50
Philipp Kurashev
SJRWvs WPG12.2%0.200.300.601.801.100.300.300.000.000.000.000.000.901.100.000.000.0015.9019.704.90
Logan Stanley
WPGD@ SJ24.2%0.200.200.401.301.401.201.500.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.1016.9020.104.30
Connor Zary
CGYLW@ ANA16.9%0.200.300.501.600.600.300.300.000.000.000.000.001.201.500.000.000.0014.6018.504.40
Pius Suter
STLC@ MIN8.2%0.200.200.401.600.700.400.300.000.000.000.000.004.504.000.000.000.0016.5022.003.90
Connor Dewar
PITLWvs LV7.4%0.200.200.401.301.900.500.100.000.000.000.000.000.300.300.000.000.2013.7018.504.00
Tommy Novak
PITCvs LV9.7%0.200.300.501.300.200.400.300.100.000.000.000.001.802.600.000.000.0013.7017.604.20
Yegor Sharangovich
CGYLW@ ANA10.6%0.200.200.402.000.300.400.100.100.000.000.000.000.400.800.000.00-0.3016.2020.504.10
Morgan Barron
WPGC@ SJ8.2%0.200.200.401.801.800.500.500.000.000.000.000.004.504.600.000.000.1012.6017.904.20
Cole Perfetti
WPGLW@ SJ39.7%0.200.400.602.300.700.500.300.100.000.000.000.000.100.100.000.00-0.1014.9017.905.30
Yegor Chinakhov
PITRWvs LV23.5%0.200.100.401.300.800.300.100.000.000.000.000.000.100.100.000.000.0011.6015.203.30
Michael Carcone
UTARWvs CHI5.6%0.200.200.401.901.700.200.200.000.000.000.000.000.200.200.000.000.1012.6017.503.90
William Eklund
SJLWvs WPG75.1%0.200.400.602.300.700.600.400.100.000.000.000.000.000.200.000.00-0.4019.4020.905.10
Anton Lundell
FLAC@ NYI77.4%0.200.400.602.101.100.500.500.000.000.000.000.008.408.300.000.00-0.1019.2024.305.60
Mason McTavish
ANACvs CGY70.6%0.200.300.602.201.100.600.700.100.000.000.000.006.706.600.000.00-0.2016.2020.205.30
Jonatan Berggren
STLLW@ MIN6.4%0.200.200.401.100.500.200.100.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.1013.6017.402.90

Who Should I Start for Goals Tonight?

Torn between two players for goal-scoring upside? Use our head-to-head comparison tool to see projected goals, shots, and shooting percentages side-by-side.

Who Should I Start

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Frequently Asked Questions

Our goal projections combine historical scoring rates, opponent goaltender stats, power play time, line placement, shot volume trends, and game-time factors to predict each player's likelihood of scoring tonight.
Elite goal scorers like Auston Matthews, Leon Draisaitl, Alex Ovechkin, and David Pastrnak consistently lead projections. However, matchup-dependent streamers often offer better value on any given night.
Our NHL goal projections update hourly throughout the day, with final adjustments made when starting lineups and goaltenders are confirmed approximately 30 minutes before puck drop.
Goals are high-variance but high-reward. In category leagues, streaming goal scorers against weak goaltending can swing close matchups. In points leagues, consistent goal scorers provide elite value.

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